Making predictions is always risky, even when they involve the immediate future. If we look back, there are many who have erred in their predictions about the future of the internet and new technologies. The portal Makeuseof.com then collected the most misguided:
1. "Computers of the future will weigh no more than 1.5 tons" (Popular Mechanics, 1949) Popular Mechanics
not wrong in his prediction, which eventually seems, however, too conservative.
2. "I've traveled the length and breadth of this country, I talked with the best and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that will not last a year" (Director of Prentice Hall Business Book)
The editorial director of Prentice Hall Business Book used this prediction failed to reject a manuscript on the science of data processing.
3. "There is no reason why anyone would want a computer at home" (Ken Olsen, 1977)
Ken Olsen, chairman and founder Computer Digital Equipment Corporation, had a computer at home, but I could not imagine that this device will also succeed in the homes of others.
4. "There will never a 32-bit operating system (Bill Gates, 1989)
Four years after making this risky forecast, in 1993, Microsoft released Windows NT 3.1 operating system 32-bit.
5. "I think the OS / 2 is destined to be the most important operating system of all time" (Bill Gates, 1987)
missed Bill Gates Again prognosis. The OS / 2, developed jointly by Microsoft and IBM stopped marketed in 2006.
6. "It is logical to think that if you're anonymous, you do what you want, but the groups actually have their own sense of community" (John Allen, 1993)
This event has been described by some as the worst observation Internet history.
7. "Spam is a thing of the past two years" (Bill Gates, 2004)
When Bill Gates made the prediction at the World Economic Forum in Davos, is doubly wrong because it also said that the Web search technology from Microsoft soon to surpass Google.
8. "The next Christmas the iPod is dead and done" (Alan Sugar, 2005)
Six years after Alan Sugar, founder of the Amstrad electronics company, made this prediction, the iPod is still "alive and well."
Source: Makeuseof.com
Sincerely,
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